Huge market potential and clean-firm energy make nuclear a growing centerpiece of power security
Nuclear energy is increasingly viewed as a critical lever in solving large-scale electricity shortages and meeting decarbonisation goals. A report argues that global demand, policy incentives, and infrastructure constraints could make nuclear a $10 trillion industry in the coming decades, provided governments and private sector overcome steep cost, safety, and regulatory challenges.
Why Nuclear Is Back in the Spotlight
- As renewable energy generation (solar, wind) scales up, so too do concerns about intermittency and grid reliability. Nuclear provides firm, around-the-clock electricity. According to the International Energy Agency, nuclear power currently supplies just under 10% of global electricity and is nearly 20% in many advanced economies.
- Many countries are accelerating nuclear projects: Japan is restarting reactors, France is completing maintenance backlogs, China, India, Korea among others are building new plants. Over 60 reactors are under construction globally adding more than 70 gigawatts (GW) of capacity.
- Advanced designs like small modular reactors (SMRs), better fuel cycles, and modular construction are helping reduce costs and improve deployment times. These innovations are cited as necessary to unlock the higher end of that $10 trillion potential. (Note: some of this is from forward-looking commentary rather than firm contracts.)
- Massive capital inflows: Meeting demand for reliable, clean power will require trillions in investment in nuclear infrastructure globally, plants, waste management, regulatory systems, fuel supply.
- Technology & supply chain: Firms in reactor design, nuclear fuel, cooling systems, safety equipment, grid stability, and nuclear-adjacent services stand to benefit. Also, innovation in SMRs and advanced reactors becomes increasingly valuable.
- Energy security & policy shifts: Countries with high energy import dependency or unstable grids may prioritize nuclear for sovereign power. Policy incentives, subsidies, and regulatory streamlining will be key.
- Climate and carbon markets: In regions with carbon pricing or emissions targets, nuclear’s role as a low-carbon baseload energy source could increase its economic value. It may reduce reliance on expensive backup generation or storage.
Risks & What Could Hold the $10 Trillion Case Back
- High upfront cost & long lead times: Traditional nuclear plants can take many years and large sums to build, with cost overruns common.
- Regulatory, safety, and public acceptance hurdles: Licensing, waste handling, accident risk perception still weigh heavily in many markets.
- Competition from cheaper renewables + storage: In many regions, wind, solar, battery + grid improvements are scaling faster and cheaper, though they lack firm dispatch capability.
- Supply constraints: Skilled labour, nuclear-grade materials, fuel supply (especially for advanced fuels), and financing (risk premiums) are all possible bottlenecks.
In summary, the idea that nuclear power could become a $10 trillion global industry reflects its potential to fill major energy deficits with low-carbon firm supply, particularly as renewables scale. But realising that potential depends heavily on policy, cost control, technology, and managing risk. The core theme: nuclear may be part of the world’s answer to power shortages, if the industry’s challenges are surmounted.