USD/CAD Forecast: Pair Holds Steady Near 1.3650 Amid US Jobs Data Anticipation
By tredu.com • 7/2/2025
Tredu
US Dollar Canadian DollarForex tradingUSD/CAD forecast

USD/CAD Holds Steady Near 1.3650 Ahead of US Jobs Data
The USD/CAD pair is maintaining a tight range near 1.3650 during Wednesday’s early trading session, as forex traders adopt a wait-and-see approach ahead of crucial US economic data. With the June Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report looming, market participants are refraining from making bold moves.
Key Influences on USD/CAD:
- ADP Employment Change data is scheduled for release at 12:15 GMT, expected to offer clues on Friday's official NFP figures.
- According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to initiate a rate cut by September.
- Investor sentiment is also influenced by uncertainty around US bilateral trade deals, especially ahead of the July 9 tariff deadline.
Canada-US Trade Tensions Easing
In a positive development for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett expressed optimism on renewed trade talks with Canada. This comes after Canada reversed its digital services tax, a move seen as an olive branch to U.S. negotiators and tech firms.
What to Watch:
- ADP Employment Change – Today at 12:15 GMT
- US Nonfarm Payrolls – Friday
- Fed’s Policy Outlook for September
- Tariff Deadline – July 9
Related Tredu Reads:
- What Drives USD/CAD Volatility?
- How NFP Affects Forex Markets
- Fed Rate Cuts: What They Mean for Currencies

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