By tredu.com • 7/2/2025
Tredu
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a slight slowdown in its downward momentum, trading near 96.90 despite weaker-than-expected US economic data including the ISM Manufacturing, Prices Paid, and JOLTS Job Openings reports.
At the ECB forum in Sintra, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated a cautious stance, emphasizing the Fed's intention to "wait and learn more" about tariff impacts on inflation before implementing rate cuts. While Powell left the possibility of a July rate reduction open, he did not commit to a specific timeline, maintaining flexibility depending on economic developments.
On fiscal matters, the Senate narrowly passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) with a 51-50 vote. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) updated its projections, estimating that the revised budget bill will add approximately $3.3 trillion to the US national debt over the next decade, up from the prior estimate of $2.8 trillion.
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