ECB’s de Guindos: EUR/USD at 1.15 Not a Major Obstacle to Inflation Target
By tredu.com • 6/16/2025
Tredu

ECB Vice President Downplays Impact of EUR/USD on Inflation
Luis de Guindos, Vice President of the European Central Bank (ECB), made comments on Monday indicating that the EUR/USD exchange rate hovering around 1.15 does not pose a significant obstacle to reaching the ECB’s inflation targets.
His remarks come amid growing speculation that a stronger Euro could dampen import price pressures, potentially complicating the central bank’s monetary policy path.
“The 1.15 level for the EUR/USD exchange rate is not a big barrier to the inflation target,” de Guindos stated.
Market Implications and Currency Stability
Forex markets reacted modestly to the statement, with the EUR/USD pair trading near the 1.15 handle. Traders interpreted the comment as a signal that the ECB is not overly concerned with current exchange rate dynamics, at least in terms of inflationary pressures.
Context: Euro Area Inflation and Currency Dynamics
The ECB continues to monitor core inflation trends, with recent figures suggesting a gradual cooling from pandemic-era peaks. A firmer Euro typically exerts disinflationary pressure by making imports cheaper, but de Guindos’ remarks imply current levels remain within acceptable bounds.
Related Links (Internal for Tredu.com)
- EUR/USD Technical Analysis
- ECB Inflation Outlook 2025
- Currency Market Watch
Final Thoughts
With EUR/USD near 1.15, de Guindos’ remarks suggest no imminent shift in ECB strategy solely due to exchange rate moves. This may calm investor concerns about currency-driven policy tightening in the near term.

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