EUR/USD Rises Above 1.1600 Amid Risk-On Sentiment and Easing Geopolitical Tensions

EUR/USD Rises Above 1.1600 Amid Risk-On Sentiment and Easing Geopolitical Tensions

By tredu.com6/25/2025

Tredu

Jerome Powell testimonyEuro Dollar exchange rateEUR/USD forecast
EUR/USD Rises Above 1.1600 Amid Risk-On Sentiment and Easing Geopolitical Tensions

EUR/USD Rises Above 1.1600 Amid Risk-On Sentiment and Easing Geopolitical Tensions

The EUR/USD currency pair edged higher to around 1.1615 during early European trading on Wednesday, as improved market sentiment and easing geopolitical tensions supported the Euro (EUR) against a softer US Dollar (USD).

Middle East Ceasefire Lifts Risk Appetite

Tensions in the Middle East appear to have de-escalated after Israel and Iran agreed to uphold a ceasefire, following pressure from US President Donald Trump. The easing conflict has spurred risk-on sentiment, lifting riskier assets like the Euro in global currency markets.

Fed’s Cautious Stance Keeps USD in Check

Across the Atlantic, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated a wait-and-see approach to monetary policy during remarks on Tuesday. Powell emphasized that the Fed will monitor inflation and economic data before deciding on any rate adjustments.

Meanwhile, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid supported the notion of flexibility, suggesting the Fed will observe the effects of tariffs on inflation before making decisions.

Outlook for EUR/USD

The pair could maintain its upward trajectory in the short term, particularly if Powell’s upcoming testimony hints at further dovishness. Investors will also track US inflation and labor data later this week to gauge the Fed’s next move.

Related Reading on Tredu.com:

  • Will the Euro Sustain Gains Amid Fed Uncertainty?
  • USD Weakness and What It Means for Currency Traders
  • Middle East Tensions and Forex: How Geopolitics Drive Markets
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