US Dollar Index (DXY) Climbs Toward 99.00 Ahead of May Nonfarm Payrolls Report

US Dollar Index (DXY) Climbs Toward 99.00 Ahead of May Nonfarm Payrolls Report

By tredu.com6/6/2025

Tredu

US Nonfarm PayrollsDXY forecastUS Dollar Index
US Dollar Index (DXY) Climbs Toward 99.00 Ahead of May Nonfarm Payrolls Report

US Dollar Index (DXY) Rebounds Ahead of Key Employment Data

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading higher on Friday, recovering from recent losses and approaching the 99.00 level. This recovery follows a drop to six-week lows near 98.35 on Thursday. The rise is driven by investors closing out short positions on the Dollar ahead of the highly anticipated US May Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.

Mixed US Data Fuels Market Uncertainty

While the market consensus expects an increase of approximately 130,000 jobs in May, this is lower than April's 177,000 gain. However, some recent weaker economic releases have cast doubt on these projections.

The unemployment rate is forecasted to hold steady at 4.2%, but some analysts warn of a possible rise to 4.3%, which could pressure the USD further.

Implications for Federal Reserve Policy

A softer employment report may bolster expectations that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more dovish stance, potentially easing monetary policy to support the economy. Such a scenario often results in USD weakness, increasing market volatility around the upcoming report.

Summary:

  • DXY rebounds from six-week lows, nearing 99.00 ahead of NFP
  • Payroll growth expected to slow but remains positive
  • Unemployment rate forecast steady but with upside risk
  • Fed easing hopes grow if jobs data disappoints

Related Articles on Tredu:

  • US Nonfarm Payrolls: What to Expect This May
  • DXY Technical Analysis and Key Levels
  • Fed Policy Outlook and Impact on USD

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