EUR/USD Forecast: Bullish Momentum Builds Above 100-Hour SMA Near 1.1380

EUR/USD Forecast: Bullish Momentum Builds Above 100-Hour SMA Near 1.1380

By tredu.com6/9/2025

Tredu

Forex trading analysisEuro forecastEUR/USD
EUR/USD Forecast: Bullish Momentum Builds Above 100-Hour SMA Near 1.1380

EUR/USD Forecast: Bulls Firm Above 100-Hour SMA, Eyes Set on 1.1450

The EUR/USD pair resumes upward movement on Monday, rebounding from Friday’s pullback and trading above the 1.1420 mark in the early European session. The bounce comes amid broad-based US Dollar (USD) weakness, as market sentiment favors risk-on assets and investors reassess the Greenback’s recent gains.

Technical Picture: Bulls in Full Control

The 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) served as a reliable support level last week, with the pair rebounding sharply off it. The daily RSI remains in bullish territory, suggesting momentum is still with buyers.

  • Immediate Resistance: 1.1450–1.1455 (horizontal zone)
  • Next Major Resistance: 1.1500 (psychological level)
  • Intermediate Target: 1.1550
  • YTD High: 1.1575 (April peak)

On the downside:

  • Support Zone: 1.1370 (recent dip-buying level)
  • Key Moving Average Support: 100-hour SMA, currently near 1.1360

Outlook: Uptrend Likely to Resume if Resistance Breaks

Should the pair sustain a move above 1.1455, it may trigger further momentum-driven buying toward the 1.1500 psychological level. A clean break there opens the path to the 1.1550 and possibly the year-to-date high of 1.1575, reinforcing the broader uptrend seen over the past month.

Related Read:
US Dollar Index DXY Forecast: Pullback Ahead of Key Support

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  • Gold Holds Near $3,300: Will US-China Talks Impact Safe Havens?
  • What’s Driving the Eurozone’s Currency Momentum in June?

Key Takeaways:

  • EUR/USD reclaims 1.1420 amid USD pullback.
  • 100-hour SMA remains strong support.
  • Technical indicators favor continued bullish momentum.
  • Eyes on 1.1455 resistance, with 1.1500 and 1.1575 as bullish targets.
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