NZD/USD Rises to 0.6035 as China CPI Falls, Markets Await US-China Talks

NZD/USD Rises to 0.6035 as China CPI Falls, Markets Await US-China Talks

By tredu.com6/9/2025

Tredu

US-China trade talksChina CPINZD/USD
NZD/USD Rises to 0.6035 as China CPI Falls, Markets Await US-China Talks

NZD/USD Climbs to 0.6035 as China CPI Drops, Trade Talks in Focus

The NZD/USD pair rose to around 0.6035 during early Asian trading hours on Monday, gaining approximately 0.50% on the day, as traders responded to China’s weaker-than-expected inflation data and anticipated US-China trade negotiations.

China CPI Falls for Fourth Consecutive Month

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China showed that Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation fell 0.1% YoY in May, matching April’s figure and coming in better than the expected 0.2% drop.

  • CPI YoY (May): -0.1% (vs -0.2% forecast, -0.1% prior)
  • CPI MoM (May): -0.2% (vs +0.1% in April)

Meanwhile, Producer Price Index (PPI) fell more sharply:

  • PPI YoY (May): -3.3% (vs -2.7% prior, -3.2% expected)

These figures suggest continued deflationary pressure in the Chinese economy, which may prompt additional policy support, indirectly benefiting risk-linked currencies like the NZD.

Traders Focus on US-China Trade Negotiations

Later Monday, Chinese officials will meet US trade representatives in London, a development closely monitored by currency traders. Optimism around a potential breakthrough in trade tensions could support broader market risk appetite, providing tailwinds for the Kiwi.

Kiwi Gains as USD Faces Mixed Sentiment

Despite Friday’s strong US NFP report, the US Dollar's momentum appears to have cooled, allowing the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to gain ground. The positive surprise in Chinese CPI and anticipation of trade progress contributed to buying interest in NZD/USD.

Related Content on Tredu.com:

  • What Falling China CPI Means for Asia-Pacific Currencies
  • NZD/USD Outlook: Will Risk Sentiment Support the Kiwi?
  • US-China Trade Talks: Key Issues and Market Implications

Key Takeaways:

  • NZD/USD rises to 0.6035, up 0.50% during early Monday trading.
  • China’s CPI dropped -0.1% YoY in May, better than forecast.
  • PPI fell 3.3%, pointing to deeper producer-level deflation.
  • US-China trade talks in London are the next key catalyst.
  • Kiwi benefits from improved sentiment and USD hesitation.
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